Estimates & Projections

The Foundation for Smart Planning and Confident Forecasting

The AGS Estimates & Projections datasets is the most widely used and comprehensive dataset in the AGS portfolio. 

Updated annually, it provides current-year population and household estimates, as well as five-year forecasts. It delivers the foundational insights used in real estate modeling, market segmentation, public policy planning, and long-range development strategies.

Whether you’re projecting demand, identifying trends, or mapping population shifts, this datasets equips you with the clarity you need to move forward.

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What’s Included

  • Current-year population, household, and dwelling estimates
  • Five-year projections for population, income, labor force, and housing
  • Attributes include age, race, income, education, employment, household structure, and more
  • Census block group and tract-level granularity
  • Fully documented and updated annually
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Built for Industry

Real Estate

Model demand by age, income, and household growth for smarter residential and commercial development.

Retail & Restaurants

Forecast where your customer base is growing and adjust expansion plans accordingly.

Public Sector & Planning

Support infrastructure and service decisions with accurate population and housing projections.

Healthcare

Identify emerging service gaps by forecasting population, insurance coverage, and income shifts.

GIS & Analytics Providers

Embed high-trust demographic data into dashboards, models, and tools for clients across sectors.

Financial Services

Use demographic forecasts to support investment decisions, lending models, and credit risk assessments.

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Delivery Formats

  • Available in flat files and GIS-ready formats
  • Compatible with major mapping and analytics platforms
  • API access via Snapshot for selected attributes
  • Custom configurations available by request

Premium Data Methodology

Estimates & Projections are built using the 2020 Census, American Community Survey, USPS data, AGS parcel-based land use files, and macroeconomic forecasts. 

AGS employs a combination of cohort survival, distribution shifting, and nonlinear trend modeling to capture local changes in population, housing, and income, while maintaining consistency at regional and national levels.

Every data point is engineered for geographic precision, long-term usability, and transparent integration into your analysis.

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Documentation & Support

AGS provides full metadata, field definitions, and user support to help you integrate this dataset into your platform, dashboard, or model.

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